Sports playing can be extremely profitable if anyone know the techniques often the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make money. The most significant secrets that sensible money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a great example of this. We analyzed the West Va vs. Louisville video game, and concluded of which West Virginia had the particular edge in the match. Nevertheless , We also realized that there was a great deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not wager on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released just before the game:

West Florida versus Louisville

This activity possesses all the indicators of being one involving the greatest games connected with the year, along with each teams coming into the game 7-0. lsm99 ‘s #3 ranked West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, the two having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, together with Western world Virginia coming backside from being down massive in the final 1 fourth to winning throughout overtime, however,.

So what’s the game appearance like this year?

When this sport were getting played with a good natural field, West Virginia might probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since typically the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented throw. That they haven’t lost given that April. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they misplaced to California Tech. On the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 ROAD games.

These kind of are some very outstanding stats that tilt typically the scales in favor of WVU with regard to tonight’s games. Plus, this included benefit is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This may not appear like very much, but in a shut match-up like this, that special point will make the change between a good push in addition to a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are really almost as good while WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their own past 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their very last 10 home games.

And even if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in the home since Dec 17, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is hitting 49. some points for every game at home, while hitting only stopping 15. 8 points per game with home. In case a person decided not to do the math, that means given that their own last home decline they also have averaged beating their own opposing team by means of about thirty four things per game.

Even greater amazing, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the particular pass on, on average, by 13 points per online game at home given that the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Most of those stats were piled up during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They are yet to got recent games where they also have only scored twenty-eight, twenty three, 24 points. These video games weren’t against Oh Saint. or Michigan. They have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

The bottom line is that this is still a new close game to get in touch with. Nevertheless the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s security to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s not any purpose to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest suggestion is usually to lay off that game and not necessarily wager at all. There will be better video games this weekend with more simple strengths.

The final score of this game was Louisville 44, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to come back a punt for a new TD. The results was that West Virginia’s advantage had not been so big they will could still win immediately after generating so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this kind of activity, people severe with regards to wagering saved money they will can put to better use on approaching games.