Sports wagering can be quite profitable if you know the tricks this “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that clever money bettors use is knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a ideal case in point. I actually analyzed this Western world Florida vs. Louisville sport, and concluded the fact that West Va had typically the edge in the video game. Nevertheless , I also noticed that there are a whole lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not bet on this kind of game. Here is our analysis I released prior to the game:

West Va versus Louisville

This video game provides all the indications of being one of the most effective games associated with the year, having each teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, with Western Virginia coming rear from being down large in the final fraction to winning within overtime.

So what’s the overall game search like this year?

If this video game were getting played from the natural field, West Va might probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since often the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented spin. They haven’t lost since Oct. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. In the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last on the lookout for video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 STREET games.

These types of are some very impressive stats that tilt often the scales in favor of WVU intended for tonight’s online game. Plus, this extra benefit is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This may not seem to be like much, but in a shut match-up similar to this, that more point might make the big difference between a new push and a loss.

But what about Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling may be almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own final 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home game titles.

In addition to if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in the home since January eighteen, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points for each game at home, while hitting only giving up 15. seven points every game from home. In case an individual don’t do the figures, that means given that his or her last home loss they have already averaged beating their particular competitors simply by about 34 items per game.

What’s more extraordinary, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the particular range, on average, by 13 points per sport at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s just how…

Almost all of those stats were piled up during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They have already possessed recent games in which they’ve only scored twenty-eight, twenty three, 24 points. These types of game titles weren’t against Iowa E. or Michigan. Many people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

In ufabet168.info/เว็บแทงบอล that this is still some sort of close activity to phone. Yet what I look regarding is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s virtually no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest advice is definitely to lay off this kind of game and not really guess at all. There happen to be better activities this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut benefits.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to come back the punt for a new TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s border has not been so big which they could still win after making so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this kind of match, people critical with regards to sports betting saved money they will can offer better use on coming games.