Sports wagering can be extremely profitable if a person know the secrets and techniques the particular “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make money. The most significant secrets that wise money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a great case in point. I analyzed the particular Western California vs. Louisville match, and concluded that West Las vegas had typically the edge in the game. Yet , I actually also understood that there have been a great deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not wager on this particular game. Here is my analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Las vegas versus Louisville

This activity possesses all the indications of being one involving the most effective games associated with the year, having both teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, having Rest of the world Virginia coming back from staying down big in the final 1 fourth to winning around overtime.

So what’s the action seem like this year?

In the event that this video game were turning into played with a good basic field, West Florida would likely probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented rotate. They haven’t lost given that Oct. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they shed to California Tech. In the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 HIGHWAY games.

These types of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt typically the scales in favor associated with WVU for tonight’s games. Plus, typically the added in benefit is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This can not appear like quite a bit, but in a near match-up such as this, that excess point will certainly make the variation between some sort of push and even a loss.

But what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are generally almost as good while WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very own past 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.

And even if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in your own home since January 16, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for each game in your own home, while hitting only letting go of 15. six points each game on home. In case a person decided not to do the figures, that means given that his or her last home loss they also have averaged beating their very own competitors by way of about 34 details per game.

What’s more amazing, the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten this divide, on average, by 13 factors per sport at home considering 2003.

Wow… how can an individual go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

Most of those stats have been developed during the 2005 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They are yet to experienced recent games that has they are yet to only scored 36, 23, 24 points. And the activities weren’t against Iowa St. or Michigan. They were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

Basically that this is still some sort of close sport to call up. Nonetheless what I look regarding is West Virginia’s safety to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s simply no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to mid 20’s. My honest professional recommendation will be to lay off this game and not necessarily gamble at all. There will be better games this weekend with more simple strengths.

UFABET168 of this game was Louisville 44, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to come back a new punt for a TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s border weren’t so big which they could very well still win immediately after producing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this specific sport, people serious with regards to gambling saved money many people can offer better employ on future games.